BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 2A Class Rank: 109 Conference: (8-10) Overall: (9-13) Overall Strength =   48.78

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Home    W    30.59  56   47   1A  138 ( 7-15) Mormon Trail          -16.96 *   25.96                      
  2 11/30/2006 Away    L    45.30  37   50   1A   53 (21- 4) Murray                 -2.25    -10.75                      
  3 12/01/2006 Home    L *  33.14  55   68   2A  106 ( 9-12) Corning               -14.41      1.41                      
  4 12/05/2006 Home    W *  40.71  47   40   1A  119 ( 3-19) Afton East Union       -6.84     13.84                      
  5 12/08/2006 Away    L *  46.54  32   52   1A   30 (17- 6) Bedford                -1.02    -18.98                      
  6 12/12/2006 Home    L *  48.20  41   86   2A    1 (26- 1) Nodaway Valley          0.65 *  -45.65                      
  7 12/15/2006 Home    L *  34.48  39   63   2A   71 (15- 8) Truro Interstate-35   -13.07    -10.93                      
  8 12/19/2006 Away    W *  61.99  55   43   2A  106 ( 9-12) Corning                14.44     -2.44                      
  9 01/05/2007 Away    L *  33.00  36   62   1A   51 (15- 7) Lenox                 -14.55    -11.45                      
 10 01/08/2007 Away    L    62.20  52   61   3A   39 (19- 3) Osceola Clarke         14.65    -23.65                      
 11 01/11/2007 Home    L *  40.92  49   51   2A  113 (11-10) Leon Central Decatur   -6.63      4.63                      
 12 01/16/2007 Away    W *  52.57  66   51   1A  119 ( 3-19) Afton East Union        5.02      9.98                      
 13 01/19/2007 Away    L *  45.68  51   65   2A   92 (16- 6) Corydon Wayne          -1.87    -12.13                      
 14 01/22/2007 Away    L    41.53  60   61   2A  122 ( 8-10) Clarinda Academy       -6.02      5.02                      
 15 01/23/2007 Home    L *  46.68  42   58   1A   30 (17- 6) Bedford                -0.87    -15.13                      
 16 01/26/2007 Home    W *  49.52  56   46   1A  102 (10-15) Southeast Warren        1.97      8.03                      
 17 01/30/2007 Away    L *  49.06  41   89   2A    1 (26- 1) Nodaway Valley          1.51 *  -49.51                      
 18 02/02/2007 Away    W *  63.56  60   44   2A  117 ( 6-15) Pleasantville          16.01     -0.01                      
 19 02/06/2007 Home    W *  56.15  58   57   1A   51 (15- 7) Lenox                   8.60     -7.60                      
 20 02/09/2007 Away    W *  40.19  60   39   1A  140 ( 1-20) Martensdale M-SM       -7.36 *   28.36                      
 21 02/19/2007 Neutral W *  62.75  48   43   2A   92 (16- 6) Corydon Wayne          15.20    -10.20                      
 22 02/22/2007 Away    L *  61.33  64   65   2A   71 (15- 8) Truro Interstate-35    13.78    -14.78                      
      Averages              47.55  50.2 56.4

Best game:   63.56 = 16 point win over Pleasantville
Worst game:  30.59 = 9 point win over Garden Grove Mormon Trail
Team stdev:  10.41